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The Global Resource Outlook

Rich countries use six times more resources and generate 10 times the climate impacts, far exceeding human needs and nature’s capacity
Katie Hill - Editor-in-Chief, My Green Pod
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Extraction of the Earth’s natural resources tripled in the past five decades, related to the massive build-up of infrastructure in many parts of the world and the high levels of material consumption – especially in upper-middle and high-income countries.

Material extraction is expected to rise by 60% by 2060 and could derail efforts to achieve not only global climate, biodiversity and pollution targets but also economic prosperity and human wellbeing, according to a report published by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP)-hosted International Resource Panel.  

Living within our means

The 2024 Global Resource Outlook, developed by the International Resource Panel with authors from around the globe and launched during the sixth session of the UN Environment Assembly, calls for sweeping policy changes to bring humanity to live within its means and reduce this projected growth in resource use by one-third, while growing the economy, improving wellbeing, and minimising environmental impacts.  

The report finds that growth in resource use since 1970 from 30 to 106 billion tonnes – or from 23 to 39kg of materials used on average per person per day – has dramatic environmental impacts.

Overall, resource extraction and processing account for over 60% of planet-warming emissions and 40% of health-related impacts of air pollution.

The extraction and processing of biomass (e.g. agricultural crops and forestry) accounts for 90% of land-related biodiversity loss and water stress, as well as one-third of greenhouse gas emissions.

Similarly, extraction and processing of fossil fuels, metals and non-metallic minerals (e.g. sand, gravel, clay) together account for 35% of global emissions. 

‘The triple planetary crisis of climate change, nature loss and pollution is driven from a crisis of unsustainable consumption and production. We must work with nature, instead of merely exploiting it.

‘Reducing the resource intensity of mobility, housing, food and energy systems is the only way we can achieve the Sustainable Development Goals and ultimately a just and liveable planet for all.’

INGER ANDERSEN
Executive director of UNEP

Global inequalities

At the heart of global resource use are fundamental inequalities: low-income countries consume six times less materials and generate 10 times less climate impacts than those living in high income countries.

Upper middle-income countries have more than doubled resource use in the past 50 years due to their own growth in infrastructure and the relocation of resource intensive processes from high-income countries.

At the same time, per capita resource use and related environmental impacts in low-income countries has remained relatively low and almost unchanged since 1995.

‘Last year’s climate conference agreed to transition away from fossil fuels. Now is the time to bring everyone to the table to phase up solutions to make that possible. Now is the time to phase up resource-based solutions for climate, biodiversity and equity so that everyone, everywhere can live a life in dignity.’

IZABELLA TEIXEIRA
International Resource Panel co-chair
 

Redefining economic success

Where consumption levels are very high, greater focus on lowering resource and material consumption levels to complement action on production and resource efficiency can reduce around 30% of global resource use as compared to historical trends, while growing the global economy, improving lives and staying within planetary boundaries.  

Where resource use needs to grow, strategies can be put in place to maximise the value of each unit of resource used and meet human needs in ways that are not resource intensive, so that the benefits of resource use far outpace the rate of their extraction and the environmental and health impacts stay in line with international obligations on climate, biodiversity and sustainability.  

Incorporating environmental externalities in trade agreements, strengthening regulation of financial commodity markets and putting in place impact-related border adjustment policies are just some of the ways that countries can prevent a race to the bottom on environmental and social standards of resource extraction, and maximise and retain the value from extraction processes in country.  

‘We should not accept that meeting human needs must be resource intensive, and we must stop stimulating extraction-based economic success. With decisive action by politicians and the private sector, a decent life for all is possible without costing the earth.’

JANEZ POTOČNIK
International Resource Panel co-chair
 

Report recommendations

The report recommends institutionalising resource governance and defining resource use paths – especially the consideration of sustainable resource use in strategies to implement Multilateral Environmental Agreements (MEAs) and improving the ability of countries to benchmark and set targets for resource consumption and productivity.

It also advises directing finance towards sustainable resource use by
reflecting the true costs of resources in the structure of the economy (i.e. subsidies, regulation, taxes, nudges, infrastructure
and planning).

Additional recommendations include channelling private finance towards sustainable resource use and incorporating resource-related risk into Public and Central Bank mandates. 

Sustainable consumption options should be made mainstream by making sure consumers have the right information, have access to (and are able to afford) sustainable goods and services.

Such measures must be coupled with regulation to disincentivise or ban resource-intensive options (like non-essential single-use plastic products). 

Trade should be made an engine of sustainable resource use by creating a level playing field where the true environmental and social costs of goods are reflected in prices, by introducing MEAs into trade agreements, for example.  

Circular, resource-efficient and low-impact solutions should be implemented, with business models to include refuse, reduce, eco-design, reuse, repair and recycling, as well as the supportive regulation and evaluation of existing systems. 

Implemented together, these policies can transform the built environment, mobility, food and energy systems, resulting in an upsurge in renewable energies and energy efficiency, decarbonisation of material production, more walkable and cyclable cities with better public transportation and remote work opportunities, as well as reduced food loss and waste.

The impact of a sustainable system

High- and upper-middle income countries would see a dietary shift away from animal protein and more compact cities, while lower-income economies would experience a rise in resource use to enable dignified living.  

Such systemic shifts are projected to peak resource extraction by 2040 and then decrease use to 20% above 2020 levels by 2060.

Greenhouse gas emissions would drop by over 80%, stocks of transport-related materials and building materials would fall by 50 and 25% respectively, and land-use for agriculture would fall by 5%.

At the same time, food production would increase by 40%, to support populations, even where there is growth and food security, the global economy would grow by 3%, and the Human Development Index would improve by 7%, boosting incomes and wellbeing.

Given the failure so far to deliver on many policy commitments in MEAs and the urgency of the triple planetary crisis, the report supports immediate actions, following the principle of ‘best available science.’

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