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A bleak future for coal

Even the ‘most efficient’ coal puts global climate goals out of reach
A bleak future for coal

Even the most efficient coal plants are not compatible with the global climate change goals, according to a new study.

Staying on course

As world leaders prepare to sign the Paris Agreement on climate change, a report from Ecofys shows that any coal-fired power generation will take the world off course from the internationally agreed target of keeping temperature rise well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels.

‘The future of coal-fired power plants, even of ‘efficient’ ones, looks bleak due to the drastic CO2 emission reductions in the power sector that are needed to limit the global average temperature rise to well below 2°C, let alone the 1.5°C limit agreed in Paris.’

DAVID DE JAGER
Principal consultant at Ecofys

No role for coal

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), emissions from the global electricity sector need to fall rapidly and be close to zero by 2050 in order to stay well under 2°C.

Even if all coal plants used the most efficient available technology – so-called ‘high efficiency low emissions’ (HELE) technology – the Ecofys study shows that the sector’s emissions would still be over those levels.

‘This report discredits claims from the coal industry and governments such as those of Japan, Germany, South Korea, Australia and Poland that efficient coal plants are compatible with climate action. It is clear that in a post-Paris world, there is quite simply no role for coal, however ‘efficient’.’

SEBASTIEN GODINOT
Economist at WWF’s European Policy Office

End public financial support

WWF concludes that governments need to end public financial support for coal immediately, and phase out all coal plants by 2035 in OECD countries and 2050 globally to avoid the worst impacts of climate change.

‘With the G7 meeting in Japan, some of the biggest coal nations have a unique opportunity to begin to phase out coal subsidies and coal use.’

SEBASTIEN GODINOT
Economist at WWF’s European Policy Office

This conclusion was reached through an assessment of scenarios from the IPCC and IEA. Currently, 2,300 new coal power plants – 1,400 GW of capacity – are planned worldwide.

Click here to read the study, The incompatibility of high-efficient coal technology with 2°C scenarios.

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